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Black Voters on Black Woman VP

Poll finds majority of Black voters favor a Black woman running mate for Joe Biden

Kamala Harris, Stacey Abrams are the top choices

June 9, 2020

By Alvin B. Tillery, Jr. Director

Joe Biden, the Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee for president, has stated his intention to select a woman as his running mate in the 2020 race. We know from media reports that several prominent Black women are on Mr. Biden’s shortlist for the job. Many activists and pundits have argued that the selection of a Black woman running mate is one of the keys to mobilizing African American voters in November. What has been missing from this debate is survey data about how Black voters feel about this issue.blackwomanvppoll

Working in conjunction with Dr. Nadia Brown of Purdue University, a leading expert on the politics of gender in Black communities, the  Center for the Study of Diversity and Democracy’s (CSDD) conducted a 45-item poll of 2,676 African Americans about their views on Biden selecting a Black woman for his running mate in the 2020 election.

The survey was a census-matched, internet panel recruited by Cloud Research/Prime Panels on behalf of the CSDD. The data were collected between May 27 and May 31, 2020.

The main finding is that 57 percent of African Americans say they would be more enthusiastic about supporting Joe Biden’s campaign if he selects a Black woman as his running mate on the Democratic Party’s ticket.

A Black Woman VP boosts Black voters’ enthusiasm for Biden

The survey asked the respondents to rate their overall enthusiasm for supporting Joe Biden’s campaign for president on a scale from 0 to 100 percent. As Figure 1 shows, the mean enthusiasm score for Biden among the respondents was 67 percent. The mean enthusiasm score for African American women is significantly higher than for the overall sample at 72 percent. When we subsequently asked the same respondents how including a hypothetical Black woman on the ticket affected their enthusiasm, Biden’s scores shifted to 69 percent and 75 percent respectively. While these gains in enthusiasm are relatively small, they are statistically significant at the .01 level. Moreover, given that recent polls of the general electorate have found that there is a sizable enthusiasm gap between Democratic and Republican base voters, these numbers point to a key dynamic for the Democrats. The fact that our poll also found that there is widespread support for almost all of the leading Black women whom the media have mentioned as contenders for the position means that Mr. Biden faces considerable freedom from Black voters to make his selection. At the same time, it is clear that Senator Kamala Harris and former Georgia legislator Stacey Abrams are the two most preferred candidates with 29 percent and 28 percent support respectively.

Our respondents also reported that they were more likely to support the Biden campaign beyond voting if he selects at Black woman as his running mate. Whereas 41 percent of the respondents said that they would campaign for Biden in their communities regardless of his pick, 47 percent said they would be more likely to do so if he selected an African American woman for VP. Similarly, 40 percent of the sample said that they would help register voters for the Biden campaign no matter whom Biden chooses as his running mate but 45 percent of the respondents stated that they would be more likely to do so if a Black woman was on the ticket.

The Impact of the VP search on Black Women’s Support for Biden:

Demographics of the CSDD Biden VP Survey: 

About the Center for the Study of Diversity and Democracy:

The mission of the Center for the Study of Diversity and Democracy is to stimulate research, dialogue, and civic engagement about the relationship between diversity and democratic politics. Our intellectual agenda focuses on three core questions: What governing institutions are best at managing differences based on race, ethnicity, gender, sexual orientation, and religion and promoting equal citizenship in diverse democracies? What are the attitudinal bases of group solidarity and intergroup tolerance in diverse democracies? What can governments, non-governmental organizations, and corporations do to reduce the socioeconomic inequalities that exist between identity-based groups in diverse democracies?

 Contact Us: mailto:CSDD@northwestern.edu

Follow Us on Twitter: @CSDDatNU

Follow Our Director on Twitter: @AlvinBTilleryJr

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